Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
LIV
26%
27%
48%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 0
REA
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
BUR
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
WIG
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
HUR
3 - 2
BOU
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
BOU
1 - 1
SHW
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHE
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
DON
1 - 1
BOU
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
BOU
3 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |