Burlington vs Waterloo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 5
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
SHO
2 - 1
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
4 - 3
NIA
70%
17%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 2
BRA
55%
21%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 3
ATO
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Waterloo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
WAT
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 0
BRA
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
WAT
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
4 - 2
ATO
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TCR
0 - 0
WAT
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |