AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Buriram United vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buriram United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 0
BEC
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 3
BUR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
OSO
1 - 2
BUR
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 0
SIN
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
5 - 1
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
ZOB
2 - 0
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
PER
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
EKU
2 - 0
EST
20%
29%
51%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
RAH
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
BUR
68%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |