Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-8
Burgos CF B vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
RAY
1 - 0
BUR
60%
24%
16%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 2
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SAN
0 - 0
BUR
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
BUR
0 - 2
CAY
57%
25%
18%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CHA
4 - 1
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
REC
0 - 1
VAD
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
VAD
2 - 0
SAB
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
GDE
1 - 1
VAD
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
VAD
1 - 1
LEV
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
MUR
0 - 0
VAD
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |