Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-0
Burgos CF B vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
CHA
3 - 1
BUR
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 0
PEÑ
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
GER
3 - 1
BUR
63%
21%
15%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
BUR
4 - 0
BFC
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
BUR
77%
14%
8%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SFN
3 - 2
VAL
46%
26%
29%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDT
47%
28%
24%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CDS
3 - 0
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -3 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
29%
27%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SDA
1 - 2
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |