Burgos CF B vs CD Villa de Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CDP
2 - 2
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 1
SAL
37%
23%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SEG
1 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 1
MIR
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BUR
3 - 1
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CDV
0 - 0
VIL
39%
24%
38%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LVC
2 - 3
CDV
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CDV
4 - 2
AVI
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SDA
4 - 2
CDV
71%
18%
12%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CDV
1 - 3
TOR
20%
21%
60%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |