Burgos CF B vs Atl. Mansillés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
15º
4º
20
14º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
41 | 74 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 64 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 60 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 57 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 53 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 49 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 48 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 48 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 47 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 43 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 39 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
17º
|
40.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68.5% | |
|
19º
|
7 | 17 |
19º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
62% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 1
BUR
23%
25%
53%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 1
SDA
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
BUR
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BUR
3 - 1
CAB
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ACF
1 - 0
BUR
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mansillés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
LVC
28%
24%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CDL
0 - 0
ATL
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
LEO
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAT
3 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
MIR
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |