Burgos UD Sub 19 vs UD Santa Marta U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
43.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
14º
16º
16º
33
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos UD Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 1
BUD
69%
16%
14%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUD
2 - 3
REA
9%
15%
76%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UDS
2 - 1
BUD
73%
15%
12%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BUD
2 - 3
PUE
25%
20%
55%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
BUD
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
VIC
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
REA
5 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
UDS
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
SAN
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |