Burgos vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ATB
3 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALA
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 1
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BÉJ
0 - 0
BUR
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
BUR
9 - 0
CIU
87%
8%
4%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
VAD
4 - 0
CEL
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
CUL
2 - 2
VAD
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
VAD
4 - 0
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1961 |
ATM
3 - 0
VAD
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
VAD
3 - 1
ATM
39%
23%
38%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +2 |