Burgos vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 2
SLA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
PUL
4 - 1
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BUR
0 - 3
SDI
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
SAB
1 - 1
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
BUR
3 - 2
RSO
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
CAD
3 - 0
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1961 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALB
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
GRA
0 - 0
VAL
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 1
CCF
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |