Burgos vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
COM
1 - 0
BUR
27%
30%
43%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
BUR
3 - 1
GIM
66%
23%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
CUL
1 - 2
BUR
28%
30%
42%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
BUR
2 - 0
HUE
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
SPB
1 - 0
BUR
29%
29%
43%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
LLE
1 - 4
ATH
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
BAR
2 - 1
LLE
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
LLE
2 - 1
SSC
45%
28%
26%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
LLE
1 - 0
COM
59%
25%
16%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
GIM
2 - 0
LLE
57%
26%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |