Burgos vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
RSO
2 - 0
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
BUR
1 - 1
EUR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
SPO
3 - 0
BUR
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDC
69%
18%
14%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
UPL
2 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
LLE
1 - 0
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
LLE
2 - 1
RSO
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
OSA
0 - 0
LLE
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
EUR
3 - 2
LLE
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
LLE
5 - 1
HOS
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |