Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
Burgos vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
LOG
0 - 1
BUR
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
OVI
2 - 1
BUR
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
MLL
2 - 1
BUR
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 0
RAY
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
RUN
1 - 0
CDT
44%
29%
27%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
AND
2 - 0
CDT
41%
29%
30%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
CDT
0 - 0
SLA
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
CDT
1 - 0
VAD
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
CFP
1 - 0
CDT
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |