Burgos vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATH
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
RMA
3 - 0
BUR
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALB
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
BUR
3 - 2
ESP
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
SPO
0 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
5 - 1
VIN
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
1 - 0
SEV
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SLA
2 - 3
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |