Burgos vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
RCF
4 - 0
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
BUR
0 - 1
UPL
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
OSA
1 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
BUR
4 - 2
HOS
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
OVI
0 - 0
BUR
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
CDT
1 - 1
SPO
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SPO
1 - 0
RCF
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
SPO
2 - 4
RMA
21%
23%
57%
|
66 | 92 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
RMA
2 - 0
SPO
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
DEP
5 - 1
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |