Burgos vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
UPL
1 - 0
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
BUR
0 - 3
RSO
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
HOS
2 - 0
BUR
56%
22%
23%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 0
BAD
73%
16%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
RAC
0 - 1
BUR
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 0
SDI
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
SPO
3 - 1
UPL
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
RSO
0 - 1
SPO
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
SPO
2 - 1
HOS
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
BAD
1 - 0
SPO
50%
21%
29%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |