Burgos vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
HER
3 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BUR
1 - 0
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 0
BUR
72%
17%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BUR
0 - 2
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 2
BUR
49%
28%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATM
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
FCB
3 - 3
SEV
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1977 |
PON
1 - 1
SEV
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |