Burgos vs UD Salamanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
SEG
3 - 2
BUR
51%
21%
29%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
SEG
3 - 3
BUR
50%
21%
30%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BUR
3 - 2
ARE
46%
21%
33%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
BUR
7 - 1
SDI
66%
17%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
MIR
2 - 3
BUR
53%
21%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
AVI
2 - 4
SLA
33%
21%
46%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SLA
1 - 0
TOM
85%
10%
6%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
SLA
2 - 1
ZAM
87%
9%
5%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
PUL
1 - 1
SLA
55%
19%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
SLA
2 - 0
CFP
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |