Burgos vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
HER
1 - 0
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ATH
1 - 2
BUR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 1
UDL
47%
26%
26%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 0
BUR
81%
13%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 2
RMA
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
AGD
3 - 0
REC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
REC
3 - 2
ATH
27%
29%
44%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
UDL
3 - 0
REC
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
REC
0 - 0
FCB
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
RMA
4 - 0
REC
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |