Burgos vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
23%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
BUR
26%
32%
42%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 5
UBC
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PON
0 - 0
BUR
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 1
SSR
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAJ
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
ZAR
4 - 1
MAJ
64%
23%
14%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CFP
0 - 1
ZAR
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RMC
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ALC
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |