Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-3
Burgos vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 0
ENS
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
MAL
1 - 0
BUR
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAD
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
CAS
1 - 0
BUR
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 1
FCB
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
RUN
2 - 0
COL
45%
33%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
TUD
1 - 1
RUN
66%
22%
12%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
RUN
2 - 0
MIR
47%
31%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
SDM
0 - 0
RUN
52%
27%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
RUN
1 - 1
EIB
63%
24%
14%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |