Burgos vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 2
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
BUR
1 - 1
GRA
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
BUR
5 - 0
UBC
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BEA
0 - 1
BUR
31%
29%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BUR
2 - 2
ZAM
54%
27%
19%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 2
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CDM
1 - 2
MUR
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
FIG
2 - 4
MUR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
MUR
3 - 0
SAB
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
VAL
2 - 3
MUR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |