Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-2
Burgos vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
MLL
1 - 0
BUR
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 1
CDT
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
VAD
4 - 2
BUR
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1975 |
MAN
1 - 1
BUR
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
SAB
2 - 3
BUR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SLA
3 - 0
MUR
54%
27%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
MUR
1 - 5
VCF
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAL
52%
28%
20%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |