Burgos vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 0
HUE
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ELC
1 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
BUR
0 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATH
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
RMA
3 - 0
BUR
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
ALM
0 - 2
RAY
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
RAY
3 - 2
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
RAY
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
RAY
4 - 1
SEV
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
SLA
1 - 0
RAY
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |