Burgos vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 1
BUR
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
RAY
61%
22%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
RSO
4 - 1
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
GIM
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ZAR
4 - 2
BUR
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATH
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1979 |
RAC
0 - 1
AGD
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 2
RAC
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
RAC
2 - 1
FCB
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
ZAM
2 - 1
RAC
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |