Burgos vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CAD
4 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATM
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 0
BUR
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 0
BET
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
RSO
3 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 0
RMA
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
RAC
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 1
SEV
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
SLA
3 - 0
RAC
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 0
UDL
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |