Burgos vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
34%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 3
BUR
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SEV
1 - 0
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 0
SEV
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 0
ALC
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PON
3 - 0
LOG
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 2
PON
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
PON
4 - 1
HER
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CAS
4 - 0
PON
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
PON
1 - 3
CAD
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |