Burgos vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
UBC
1 - 2
BUR
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 2
LOG
46%
30%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
BUR
50%
28%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 0
RUN
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
LOG
28%
28%
45%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
PEÑ
66%
22%
12%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
RUN
22%
28%
51%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
RSO
1 - 0
PEÑ
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
CUL
23%
26%
50%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |