Burgos vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
RMC
4 - 0
BUR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 2
UBC
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 1
ALC
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
BUR
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
UBC
0 - 0
BUR
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CFP
2 - 1
MAJ
46%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
CUL
2 - 1
CFP
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
SSR
4 - 1
CFP
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 0
CFP
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 1
CUL
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |