Burgos vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
RUN
1 - 0
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
BUR
3 - 0
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BAD
3 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
BUR
2 - 0
SDI
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
SDI
3 - 0
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
CDO
2 - 1
HOS
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
CDO
2 - 0
RUN
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BAR
3 - 1
CDO
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
CDO
1 - 1
BAD
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 0
CDO
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |