Burgos vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
RSO
1 - 2
BUR
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BUR
3 - 1
EIB
22%
31%
47%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CFP
1 - 0
BUR
39%
30%
31%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
SES
0 - 1
BUR
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 0
VAL
56%
26%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ORI
4 - 0
OSA
34%
29%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 0
ORI
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ORI
1 - 2
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
GIR
0 - 4
ORI
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
HUE
0 - 1
ORI
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |