Burgos vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
UPL
2 - 1
BUR
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 1
CEL
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
SPO
0 - 0
BUR
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
HOS
1 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
3 - 1
CDO
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
IND
1 - 1
MEL
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAL
40%
28%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
CON
4 - 0
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
MEL
3 - 3
CAD
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
GRA
0 - 0
MEL
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |