Burgos vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
CEL
3 - 0
BUR
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
BUR
0 - 1
CDO
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ALA
2 - 4
BUR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
BUR
0 - 2
EUR
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
SLA
1 - 1
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
CAD
2 - 0
MEL
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
MEL
1 - 1
UDL
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ONT
0 - 0
MEL
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
MEL
3 - 0
CEU
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
MEL
5 - 2
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |