Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-3
Burgos vs CE Manresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
OVI
2 - 2
BUR
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 0
GIM
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
UES
1 - 0
BUR
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
BUR
3 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
RAC
2 - 0
BUR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CE Manresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
TER
2 - 1
MAN
71%
20%
9%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
MAN
5 - 0
VIL
64%
23%
13%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
MAN
1 - 0
GIR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
VAL
0 - 0
MAN
67%
24%
10%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |