Burgos vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
GAN
1 - 1
BUR
36%
32%
32%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
BUR
1 - 1
CDT
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
BAL
0 - 0
BUR
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATB
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
LLE
2 - 1
BUR
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 2
EIB
45%
31%
24%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
ALZ
1 - 1
LUG
53%
29%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 2
ZAR
49%
28%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
AGD
3 - 0
LUG
64%
23%
13%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
39%
30%
31%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |