Burgos vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CDU
1 - 3
BUR
29%
33%
39%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 2
BAR
53%
27%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ALA
0 - 0
BUR
37%
31%
31%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
20%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
BUR
3 - 1
SLA
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
LEM
1 - 0
CUL
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SLA
1 - 0
LEM
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LEM
3 - 1
ZAL
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
LEM
0 - 1
RSO
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
LEM
0 - 2
LLE
22%
26%
53%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |