Burgos vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 0
CFP
56%
26%
19%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
MIR
0 - 1
BUR
35%
32%
34%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
CUL
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LOG
0 - 3
BUR
47%
28%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 0
ALF
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LEM
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
LEM
1 - 0
HAR
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEM
34%
28%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LEM
1 - 0
CDG
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
SES
1 - 0
LEM
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |