Burgos vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
BUR
1 - 0
LOG
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
CUL
1 - 0
BUR
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
RIB
2 - 3
BUR
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
BUR
1 - 0
BÉJ
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
ZAM
0 - 2
BUR
20%
27%
54%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
LEM
0 - 1
EIB
23%
31%
46%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
LEM
2 - 0
IZA
46%
29%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
SPB
4 - 0
LEM
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
LEM
0 - 1
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
LEM
0 - 1
GRA
42%
28%
31%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |