Burgos vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 1
BUR
65%
22%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 1
CUL
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
BUR
23%
28%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 0
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 2
COV
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 1
VAL
18%
26%
57%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 1
NUM
11%
24%
64%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ROB
2 - 1
LEA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 0
SPB
22%
27%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CUL
0 - 0
LEA
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |