Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-5
Burgos vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
UES
1 - 0
BUR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 1
BET
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1974 |
GRA
5 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
GIM
2 - 0
BUR
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BUR
0 - 1
SLA
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
GRA
2 - 1
RSO
53%
27%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
GRA
2 - 0
ESP
42%
30%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1974 |
GRA
5 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
CEL
1 - 0
GRA
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
GRA
2 - 0
RAC
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |