Burgos vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ALA
1 - 0
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
BUR
3 - 2
CAU
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
RCF
0 - 0
BUR
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
3 - 0
BUR
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
1 - 0
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
GIM
2 - 2
RCF
61%
19%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
GIM
2 - 1
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
UES
4 - 1
GIM
54%
19%
27%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
GIM
0 - 0
SAB
61%
18%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
CDC
0 - 1
GIM
59%
19%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |