Burgos vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
AND
0 - 3
BUR
21%
28%
51%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
LEM
2 - 2
BUR
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
BUR
0 - 1
CUL
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
BUR
0 - 0
ELG
65%
23%
12%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
RUN
1 - 0
BUR
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
CUL
33%
30%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
ELG
1 - 0
GER
53%
24%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
GER
0 - 0
RUN
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
GER
3 - 0
ZAM
47%
28%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
ATH
2 - 1
GER
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |