Burgos vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
BUR
3 - 1
OSA
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
CEL
0 - 1
BUR
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 1
REC
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 1
CDT
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CCF
3 - 2
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
ESP
2 - 1
BET
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
BET
3 - 1
ESP
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ESP
3 - 1
OVI
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
RAC
1 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATM
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |