Burgos vs CD Elgoibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
RUN
1 - 0
BUR
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
BUR
0 - 0
ZAM
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
ATH
1 - 0
BUR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
BUR
1 - 1
CLU
71%
21%
9%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
AMU
0 - 1
BUR
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
CD Elgoibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
ELG
2 - 0
CUL
39%
27%
34%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
LEM
0 - 0
ELG
55%
27%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
RUN
1 - 2
ELG
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
ELG
3 - 2
ZAM
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
ATH
2 - 0
ELG
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |