Burgos vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 1
BUR
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
BUR
0 - 0
ESP
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
BUR
3 - 0
RCF
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +3 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
BET
2 - 2
BUR
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
BUR
1 - 0
OVI
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ELC
1 - 1
OVI
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
CAS
2 - 1
ELC
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
ELC
5 - 3
BET
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +3 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
OVI
0 - 1
ELC
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
ELC
2 - 2
RAY
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |