Burgos vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ALA
1 - 1
BUR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
CEL
0 - 2
BUR
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
BUR
2 - 1
SEV
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SPO
2 - 0
BUR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
BUR
2 - 0
MLL
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ELC
0 - 1
CEL
28%
30%
42%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SEV
1 - 0
ELC
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ELC
0 - 0
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
MLL
6 - 1
ELC
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
ELC
6 - 1
JER
57%
21%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +3 |