Burgos vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CFP
0 - 1
BUR
66%
22%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 1
SDA
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BUR
4 - 0
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
TOR
74%
18%
8%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
RUN
1 - 2
EIB
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EIB
0 - 3
ATH
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
EIB
1 - 1
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
EIB
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
EIB
1 - 1
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |