Burgos vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
BUR
2 - 0
SLA
63%
20%
18%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CDO
0 - 1
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BUR
0 - 0
RSO
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SPO
1 - 0
BUR
77%
15%
9%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BUR
2 - 1
UPL
68%
17%
15%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
CEL
5 - 0
CON
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
CON
1 - 0
ESP
32%
29%
40%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SAB
4 - 3
CON
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1963 |
CON
4 - 1
ALA
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BAS
3 - 1
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |