Burgos vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
DEP
2 - 1
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
RAY
2 - 0
BUR
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
BUR
3 - 0
OVI
62%
24%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
MUR
1 - 2
BUR
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
BUR
2 - 2
LIN
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
CEL
2 - 0
MAL
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
ATB
1 - 0
CEL
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
ALM
4 - 0
CEL
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
CEL
1 - 0
DEP
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
SAB
3 - 5
CEL
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |