Burgos vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
BUR
1 - 3
OSA
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
HOS
0 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
BUR
1 - 2
OVI
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
VAL
3 - 0
BUR
68%
17%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
BAR
0 - 2
BUR
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
RSO
2 - 1
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
CEL
3 - 0
EUR
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SPO
1 - 1
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 0
LEV
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
CEL
3 - 0
CDC
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |